Do The Golden Globes Predict The Oscars?

Our first glimpse of awards season 2025 is here, with Emilia Perez bagging 10 nominations for the Golden Globes – making it the most nominated comedy or musical film in the award show’s history. The Brutalist and Conclave are hot on the Netflix original’s heels, while Sebastian Stan and Kate Winslet lead the acting pack with double nominations: the former for The Apprentice and A Different Man, and the latter for Lee and The Regime.

But where do the Golden Globes fit in awards season? And is this list of nominees an oracle for the incoming Oscars shortlist?

Where Do The Golden Globes Fit In Awards Season?

Outside of the US, it can be difficult to decipher the hierarchy of awards ceremonies. Though we know the Academy Awards are the peak, with the Emmys, Grammys, Billboard Music Awards, Critics Choice Awards and more (and we’ll coyly throw the BAFTAs and BRITs in there, too), it’s hard to keep track of the creme de la creme. Awarding both film and TV achievements, the Golden Globes are unique and heavily attended and discussed – but fall short of both the Academy Awards (film awards) and Emmy Awards (TV awards) in their star power. Indeed, the coveted EGOT achievement shuns the Golden Globes, with an Emmy, Grammy, Oscar and Tony award the real sign of Hollywood power.

Today, much of the Golden Globes’ prestige stems from the fact that the awards are presented first – in January every year – kicking off the new year, and the new awards season, with a bang. With excitement brewing for the season ahead, this means the Golden Globes award ceremony is always a buzzy, prestigious and glamorous affair – and we’re sure 2025 will be no different.

Do The Golden Globes Predict The Oscars?

Because the Golden Globes take place in January every year, many people believe they predict the Oscars, which are awarded in February or March – but this isn’t totally true. The Golden Globes’ list of nominees always bears a resemblance to the Academy Awards’ shortlist, but this is mainly because both award the best performances of the year prior, welcoming plenty of crossover.

With two possible categories to win ‘Best Picture’ in – ‘Drama’ and ‘Musical or Comedy’ – the Golden Globes essentially has two shots at predicting the Oscars’ Best Picture choice. Even then, Best Picture wins are rarely the same across the two ceremonies, with recent exceptions including Moonlight in 2017, The Shape of Water in 2018, Green Book in 2018 and Nomadland in 2021. In 2016, Flavorwire reported that, in the decade prior, the Golden Globes had just a 50 percent record in predicting the winner for Best Picture at the Oscars, and a 40 percent accuracy rating for Best Director. The Best Actor and Best Actress awards, however, are a different story: in the decade up to 2016, the Golden Globes and Oscars lined up on this front 90 percent of the time.

The 2025 Golden Globes Nominees In Full – Films

Best Film – Drama

The Brutalist

A Complete Unknown

Conclave

Dune: Part Two

Nickel Boys

September 5

Best Film – Musical Or Comedy

Anora

Challengers

Emilia Pérez

A Real Pain

The Substance

Wicked

Best Female Actor In A Film – Drama

Pamela Anderson, The Last Showgirl

Angelina Jolie, Maria

Nicole Kidman, Babygirl

Tilda Swinton, The Room Next Door

Fernanda Torres, I’m Still Here

Kate Winslet, Lee

Best Male Actor In A Film – Drama

Adrien Brody, The Brutalist

Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown

Daniel Craig, Queer

Colman Domingo, Sing Sing

Ralph Fiennes, Conclave

Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice

Best Female Actor In A Film – Musical Or Comedy

Amy Adams, Nightbitch

Cynthia Erivo, Wicked

Karla Sofía Gascón, Emilia Pérez

Mikey Madison, Anora

Demi Moore, The Substance

Zendaya, Challengers

Best Male Actor In A Film – Musical Or Comedy

Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain

Hugh Grant, Heretic

Gabriel LaBelle, Saturday Night

Jesse Plemons, Kinds of Kindness

Glen Powell, Hit Man

Sebastian Stan, A Different Man

Best Film – Animated

Flow

Inside Out 2

Memoir of a Snail

Moana 2

Wallace & Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl

The Wild Robot

Best Film – Non-English Language

All We Imagine As Light

Emilia Pérez

The Girl With the Needle

I’m Still Here

The Seed of the Sacred

Fig Vermiglio

Best Female Actor In A Supporting Role In A Film

Selena Gomez, Emilia Pérez

Ariana Grande, Wicked

Felicity Jones, The Brutalist

Margaret Qualley, The Substance

Isabella Rossellini, Conclave

Zoe Saldaña, Emilia Pérez

Best Male Actor In A Supporting Role In A Film

Yura Borisov, Anora

Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain

Edward Norton, A Complete Unknown

Guy Pearce, The Brutalist

Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice

Denzel Washington, Gladiator II

Best Director – Film

Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez

Sean Baker, Anora

Edward Berger, Conclave

Brady Corbet, The Brutalist

Coralie Fargeat, The Substance

Payal Kapadia, All We Imagine As Light

Best Screenplay – Film

Jacques Audiard, Emilia Pérez

Sean Baker, Anora

Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold, The Brutalist

Jesse Eisenberg, A Real Pain

Coralie Fargeat, The Substance

Peter Straughan, Conclave

Best Original Score – Film

The Brutalist

Challengers

Conclave Dune: Part Two

Emilia Pérez

The Wild Robot

Best Original Song – Film

Beautiful That Way, The Last Showgirl

Compress/Repress, Challengers

El Mal, Emilia Pérez

Forbidden Road, Better Man

Kiss the Sky, The Wild Robot

Mi Camino, Emilia Pérez

Cinematic And Box Office Achievement

Alien: Romulus

Beetlejuice Beetlejuice

Deadpool & Wolverine

Gladiator II

Inside Out 2

Twisters

Wicked

The Wild Robot

The 2025 Golden Globes Nominees In Full – TV

Best Television Series – Drama

The Day of the Jackal

The Diplomat

Mr and Mrs Smith

Shōgun

Slow Horses

Squid Game

Best Television Series – Musical Or Comedy

Abbott Elementary

The Bear

The Gentlemen

Hacks

Nobody Wants This

Only Murders in the Building

Best Television Limited Series, Anthology Series Or Television Film

Baby Reindeer

Disclaimer

Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story

The Penguin

Ripley

True Detective: Night Country

Best Female Actor In A Television Series – Drama

Kathy Bates, Matlock

Emma D’Arcy, House of the Dragon

Maya Erskine, Mr and Mrs Smith

Keira Knightley, Black Doves

Keri Russell, The Diplomat

Anna Sawai, Shōgun

Best Male Actor In A Television Series – Drama

Donald Glover, Mr and Mrs Smith

Jake Gyllenhaal, Presumed Innocent

Gary Oldman, Slow Horses

Eddie Redmayne, The Day of the Jackal

Hiroyuki Sanada, Shōgun

Billy Bob Thornton, Landman

Best Female Actor In A Television Series – Musical Or Comedy

Kristen Bell, Nobody Wants This

Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary

Ayo Edebiri, The Bear

Selena Gomez, Only Murders in the Building

Kathryn Hahn, Agatha All Along

Jean Smart, Hacks

Best Male Actor In A Television Series – Musical Or Comedy

Adam Brody, Nobody Wants This

Ted Danson, A Man on the Inside

Steve Martin, Only Murders in the Building

Jason Segel, Shrinking

Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building

Jeremy Allen White, The Bear

Best Female Actor In A Television Limited Series, Anthology Series Or Television Film

Cate Blanchett, Disclaimer

Jodie Foster, True Detective: Night Country

Cristin Milioti, The Penguin

Sofía Vergara, Griselda

Naomi Watts, Feud: Capote vs the Swans

Kate Winslet, The Regime

Best Male Actor In Television Limited Series, Anthology Series Or Television Film

Colin Farrell, The Penguin

Richard Gadd, Baby Reindeer

Kevin Kline, Disclaimer

Cooper Koch, Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story

Ewan McGregor, A Gentleman in Moscow

Andrew Scott, Ripley

Best Supporting Female Actor On Television

Liza Colón-Zayas, The Bear

Hannah Einbinder, Hacks

Dakota Fanning, Ripley

Jessica Gunning, Baby Reindeer

Allison Janney, The Diplomat

Kali Reis, True Detective: Night Country

Best Supporting Male Actor On Television 

Tadanobu Asano, Shōgun 

Javier Bardem, Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story 

Harrison Ford, Shrinking 

Jack Lowden, Slow Horses 

Diego Luna, La Maquina 

Ebon Moss-Bachrach, The Bear 

Best Standup Comedy On Television 

Jamie Foxx, Jamie Foxx: What Had Happened Was 

Nikki Glaser, Nikki Glaser: Someday You’ll Die 

Seth Meyers, Seth Meyers: Dad Man Walking 

Adam Sandler, Adam Sandler: Love You 

Ali Wong, Ali Wong: Single Lady 

Ramy Youssef, Ramy Youssef: More Feelings

When Will The 2025 Winners Be Revealed?

The 82nd Golden Globes will take place on 5 January 2025. goldenglobes.com